Production and market review of frozen berries, frozen mushrooms and frozen vegetables in 2011
The situation on the market of frozen berries, mushrooms, fruits and vegetables throughout 2011 was characterized by significant changes in market conditions, due primarily to pricing for imported products.
In late 2010 and early 2011 formed deficit frozen cherries, which was due to the high demand for this berry. In early 2011, prices for frozen cherries without pits have grown to 1.7-1.8 euro / kg at plants in Poland. But the real stock of frozen cherries in the warehouses were only a few manufacturers. At the end of January and February the price of cherries in Russia increased to 110-120 rubles / kg. At the same time demand has remained at about the same level.
Fracture of the situation with frozen cherries in the wholesale market has occurred in connection with the importation of American Cherry, which was much cheaper. The price for the Polish cherries ranged at 110-115 rubles / kg, the price of U. S. cherries was not above 100 rubles / kg. The volume of imports of American frozen cherries was insignificant, but the rumor of the presence of such cherries at a price significantly below the Polish led to a temporary decline in demand for expensive Polish cherries. In addition, some manufacturers also moved temporarily to the consumption of sweet cherries, which also cost about 100 rubles / kg. In March-April 2011, the price of cherries stabilized at high levels in the range of 100-120 rubles / kg. Many market participants expect significant demand for the new harvest cherries and maintain prices at the same level. Prior to the beginning of a new crop of cherry in Poland and Serbia, prices remained in that range.
Prices in Serbia began to form at 1.4 euros / kg at a factory in Serbia. This corresponds to 80-85 $ / kg. Gradually, however, these prices have risen to 1.7 euros / kg. Prices in Poland also began to take shape 1,45-1,5 euro / kg of frozen cherries. Around the end of July and early August, there was a short-term rise in prices for frozen cherries in Poland to 1,65-1,7 euro / kg due to increased demand and purchase prices of the producers of concentrates. But just a 1-1.5 weeks, prices have returned to a level of 1,5-1,55 Euro / kg, and as a result of stabilized at this level. In Russia, prices for frozen cherries the new crop began to drop rapidly. First there was the Serbian cherry costs about 95 rubles / kg. Then he quickly dropped the price to 90 rubles / kg as soon as the beginning of a new crop of cherries in Poland. From September 2011 prices have stabilized around 90-95 rubles / kg, in October-November 2011, began to emerge from the proposals of Polish producers for frozen cherries below 1.5 € / kg. This led again to lower prices for frozen cherries to 85 rubles / kg. Periodically, the wholesale market of frozen berries appear to offer frozen cherries below 85 rubles / kg.
Changes in prices of frozen cherries in Russia have been against the background of the average harvest of cherry in terms of collection and the volume of stocks of frozen cherries in the factories in Poland. It should also be noted that the decline in prices for frozen cherries against a background of significant change in the ruble against the euro from 39 rubles/euro in August to 41.5rubles/euro in December 2011. In addition, prices of frozen cherries in the EU on the contrary rose to 1.7 euro / kg.
Also, many Polish producers predict a rise in the price of frozen cherries in 2012 due to the fact that most of the stocks of frozen cherries are under contract.
Based on the foregoing, it is projected prices for frozen cherries above
90 rubles / kg but not exceeding 100 rubles / kg. As the experience of the past in 2011, the rise in prices above 100 rubles / kg, can significantly affect the level of demand and forcing manufacturers to look for alternative products.
It was an interesting situation with the price of raspberries extra and raspberries Gris on the wholesales market. In early 2011 the price of extra raspberries was stable at 2.2-2.3 euros / kg in Poland, or 120-130 $ / kg in Russia. The price of raspberries Grice was 1.45 euro / kg at a factory in Poland or the 90-95 rubles / kg in Russia.
In August-September 2011 with the beginning of a new crop of raspberries in Serbia, there was a change in market prices for frozen raspberries. Serbian producers began selling frozen raspberries with extra 1.65 euro / kg, with a better product.
Prices of Polish raspberries fell almost immediately after the appearance of cheap Serbian raspberries. Polish producers reduced the price for extra raspberries to 1.65 euro / kg and the raspberries to Grice 1,2-1,25 Euro / kg.
In early October, Polish producers again reduced the price for frozen raspberries extra to 1.55 euro / kg and the raspberries Grice price remained unchanged until November.
In Russia, prices for raspberries and gradually began to decline with the advent of frozen raspberries next harvest.
In November, there was a new price reduction on the extra raspberries to 1.45 euro / kg and 1.05 euro / kg raspberry Gris. Until the end of 2011, data prices have stabilized and stopped at these levels. Prices of raspberries extrusion in Russia has stabilized at 105-110 rubles / kg for raspberries Grice prices also fell from 90 rubles / kg in June and July to 80 rubles / kg in November and December.
According to our data, prices in Serbia are also continuing to decline. Serbian producers are willing to sell raspberries extrusion already on 1.4 euro / kg, but on a prepaid basis. According to our data, the average stock in Serbia remain frozen raspberries extra. Therefore, most likely, the price of frozen raspberries extra stabilized at a minimum level of 1.4 euro / kg to March 2012. In April, as a rule, you can expect sales decline and the demand for frozen berries, so it is possible further drop in prices for raspberries, which can be triggered by the Serbian producers.
Prices for frozen raspberries extra in China in early August were relatively high compared with prices in Poland and Serbia. But the overall market conditions to lower prices for frozen raspberries resulted in lower prices for raspberries extra raspberries and Grice in China by the end of 2011.
The situation with frozen strawberries in the wholesale market in Russia remains volatile. In early 2011 the market volume of supply of strawberries exceeded demand. Things began to change by March 2011. Due to large amounts of stocks frozen strawberries in Russia, most vendors have started selling it at reduced prices. This has led to increased demand and increased sales of frozen strawberries at the end of Q1 2011. It seems that most vendors have implemented most of the sale of their stocks during this period.
Prices for frozen strawberries in the 1st quarter of 2011 seriously varied depending on quality. Traditionally, the wholesale market, the greatest demand is presented to the frozen strawberries 2 class. The price of strawberries 1 class at that time was formed in the range of 65-70 rubles / kg. The most expensive strawberries — frozen strawberries 15-25 mm calibrated. As a rule, at her last 2 years is relatively stable demand. Few suppliers can offer a stable quality of strawberries. The price of a calibrated strawberries 1 class of 75 rubles / kg. The price of a calibrated strawberries 1 class 25-35 mm was formed at 65-70 rubles / kg. The cheapest segment — frozen strawberries 2 class is a wide range of prices at that time from 55 to 65 rubles / kg. At the end of Q1 2011, some sellers have lowered prices for strawberries 2 class to 50 rubles / kg, which had an impact on overall demand for frozen strawberries.
At the end of Q2 2011, i. e. in May-June 2011, the deficit began to take shape strawberries. Prices for strawberries 1 class 25-35 mm, re-stabilized around 65 rubles / kg, although in April and early May, prices have dropped to 60 rubles / kg. Prices for strawberries 2 class also gradually increased to 60 rubles / kg while maintaining the upward trend in prices. At this point, it was clear that the price of strawberries in China will be even higher than last year. If in 2010, the price of 1.5 USD / kg in the port of St. Petersburg was considered expensive, then in 2011 — 1.5 USD / kg, was considered cheap already. Prices in China were formed from 1.6 USD / kg in the port of St. Petersburg. Prices rose rapidly and stabilized only about the level of 1.8-2 USD / kg depending on quality. For example, the price of frozen strawberries uncalibrated 2 class was formed at 1.65 USD / kg.
Thus, in June and July, a gradual rise in prices for frozen strawberries next harvest. In Poland, the price of strawberries is also from the very beginning of harvest grew rapidly from 1.5 euros / kg in the factories in Poland to 1.8-1.9 euro / kg.
In Russia, prices for frozen strawberries continue to behave very differently. As always in times of uncertainty in the September-October 2011, the wholesale market there were proposals for frozen strawberries at 55 rubles / kg, which is lower than last year. This in principle could not be. As before, there was an average deficit of frozen strawberries 2 class, which is especially popular in Russia. Dollar exchange rate in Russia rose from 28 rubles / dollar in August to 32 rubles / dollar in October. Obviously, prices can not fall under such conditions. In November 2011 the price of strawberries situation gradually stabilized. Prices for Chinese 2 class strawberries were formed at 70-75 rubles / kg, the price of a class of 25-35 mm, China — 75-85 rubles / kg, the price of frozen strawberries calibrated 1 class 15-25 mm Country of origin Poland — 105 -110 rubles / kg.
The situation with the prices for blackberries also remains uncertain.
According to forecasts of manufacturers, with the beginning of a new harvest of blackberries was to begin its scarcity and rising prices. The rise in prices has occurred in China. Prices in China have grown blackberries. But prices for frozen blackberries in Poland remained stable. For example, in early 2011, the price of blackberries was 1.2 euros / kg, in Russia the price of blackberries remained stable at 75-80 rubles / kg.
Prices for Chinese frozen blackberries are also consistent with market prices in Russia.
Polish producers have raised the average price for frozen blackberries in October, only temporarily till 1,25-1,3 euro / kg. Most manufacturers continue to predict a further rise in prices for frozen blackberries.
In Russia the price of blackberries began to rise in December 2011. By the end of December, prices rose an average of 90 rubles / kg, while maintaining the upward trend.
Frozen blackcurrants grown considerably in price. In January 2011 the price for frozen black currants was 0,98-1,05 € / kg on average. The price of frozen currants remained stable until the end of June 2011. In Russia, prices for frozen black currants remained stable at 60-70 rubles / kg. Since June 2011 prices began to rise gradually. On average, Polish producers have begun to raise prices for frozen black currants in June from 1 to 1.2 euros / kg. In Russia, prices also began to rise in June from 65 rubles / kg to an average of 75 rubles / kg on the average wholesale market.
In the period from June to August 2011, prices rose an average of 1.2 euros / kg to 1.8-1.9 € / kg in Poland. In Russia, prices also increased significantly from 75 rubles / kg to an average of 100-105 rubles / kg.
In autumn 2011 the price of frozen black currants relatively stabilized in Poland and in Russia at these levels.
In November-December 2011, prices for frozen black currants fell slightly in price on average from 1.9 euro / kg to 1,8-1,85 Euro / kg. Given the rise of the euro against the ruble from 39 USD / Euro in August to 41.5 rubles / euros in November and December, it's almost not influenced by wholesale prices. By the end of December, prices of frozen black currants have been established for 105-110 rubles / kg on average
Prices for frozen berries have dropped significantly compared to the 2010-2011 year.
The price for the Russian frozen cranberries dropped from 200-220 rubles / kg in winter and summer of 2011 to 120 rubles / kg in September 2011, with a gradual increase up to 140 rubles / kg in November-December 2011. At this point, the average prices in the wholesale market formed and stabilized at 140-150 rubles / kg. The price of frozen cranberries also depends on the quality of the product. The price of frozen cranberries electronic clearing established at 160-165 rubles / kg.
The weather conditions in the North West have allowed the majority of suppliers to collect fresh cranberries for longer than usual until October 2011. This suggests that the amount of cranberry harvesting must be greater than last year. Accordingly, the prices are not likely to change significantly until May-June 2012. As always during the summer period and subject to adjustment as a reduction in prices and growth. Most likely, it is possible that some small price increases before the next harvest of cranberries in September 2012.
The price of frozen lingonberries fell from 200-220 rubles / kg in early 2011 to 160-170 rubles / kg at the end of 2011. In September 2011, prices of frozen lingonberries were formed at 130-140 rubles / kg. In connection with the harvest below average, but higher than last year, and the decline in demand for frozen russian lingonberries, prices have fallen to these levels. Demand in general for frozen lingonberries also fell compared to last year. Most likely, prices will not change significantly and stabilized 160-170 rubles / kg. Rising prices for frozen lingonberries possible in the summer May-August, as most of the stocks will be sold during the winter, and most sellers will have no cranberries.
Prices for frozen blueberries to the end of 2011 reached the same marks on the average, and that at the end of 2010. Prices for frozen blueberries in the middleformed at around 170-180 rubles / kg. Prices for frozen blueberries may continue torise in 2012 due to the relatively low yield and high purchase prices. But at the sametime, be aware that proposals for all types of frozen berries continue to come from Belarus.